Quantitative Biology

Dynamics Of Rabies Spread Using Mathematical Modeling and Simulation

Authors: Jomar Tolentino, Kikay Benalla, Reymar Villanueva, Evid Ros Andrae Jamito, Jonel Alonte, Marc Arvel Salvador
Comments: 8 Pages.

Rabies is so serious, affecting the health of each citizen of Camarines Norte due to the careless nature of most people and the lack of immediate treatment for dog bites in many. This study will focus on the spread of rabies in Camarines Norte using mathematical modeling and simulation to predict rabies transmission and to determine the target number of dogs to vaccinate. This simulation of data based on records of the number of persons bitten or vaccinated against rabies in the Animal Bite Center at Camarines Norte is to estimate the trends in the monthly number of cases of bites and to estimate the rise of the cases with time. Protocols for the treatment for rabies are prepared and enhanced in the hospitals to get a better response and a prevention strategy that reduces fatality rates caused by the rabies virus. Results of the simulation also provide monthly predictions of increases in the cases of bites, giving the health facilities an insight into periods of increased risk and thus preparing them well for such periods.
Category: Quantitative Biology