Quantitative Biology

2003 Submissions

[10] viXra:2003.0602 [pdf] submitted on 2020-03-27 14:36:53

Confirmation of Prediction of Daily Contagions of Covid-19 from February 20 to June 20 in Italy

Authors: Calogero Rinzivillo, Sergio Conte, Elio Conte
Comments: 3 Pages.

We study a fractal model for prediction of Covid-19 contagions from February 20 to June 20 in Italy . We obtain that the model confirms the experimental data obtained in the past seven days . The time of the peak is estimated to be at March 21-26 and the number of contagions will be about 240000 cases.
Category: Quantitative Biology

[9] viXra:2003.0554 [pdf] replaced on 2020-04-26 19:03:06

Early Evaluation and Effectiveness of Social Distancing Measures for Controlling COVID-19 Outbreaks

Authors: Vincenzo Nardozza
Comments: 8 Pages.

Based on real data, we study the effectiveness and we propose an early evaluation method for COVID-19 social distancing measures. Version v2 posted on 26/03/20. Version v3 posted on 26/04/20. In version v3 sections 7 and 8 have been added leaving unchanged previous sections.
Category: Quantitative Biology

[8] viXra:2003.0498 [pdf] submitted on 2020-03-23 14:20:55

Prediction of Daily Contagions of Covid-19 from March 03 to June 01 in Sicily , a Region of Italy

Authors: Calogero Rinzivillo, Sergio Conte, Elio Conte
Comments: 2 Pages.

We study a fractal model for prediction of Covid-19 contagions from March 03 to June 01 in Sicily, a region of Italy . We obtain that the time of the peak is estimated to be at March 20-25 and the number of contagions will be about 3130 cases
Category: Quantitative Biology

[7] viXra:2003.0377 [pdf] submitted on 2020-03-18 05:17:51

The Predictions of the Growth of Covid19 (Part 2 for the Usa). v2

Authors: Dongchan Lee
Comments: 3 Pages.

This is the summary of Lee’s predictions about COVID-19’s infection population in the United States of America. It is the second part of the series. Unless the U.S. government and CDC take actions aggressively nationwide to cut the rampant growth of the virus, at least 0.1 Million Americans will catch COVID-19 by March and at least 10 million infected Americans by sometime April, and almost 100 Millions infected by sometime May 2020. We corrected the error for the prediction for the 10,000 infections from the version 1 (from the context, it is obvious to see the writing error.) In this second version, we included when the U.S. death tolls reach 1 thousand, 10 thousand, 100 thousand, and 1 Million.
Category: Quantitative Biology

[6] viXra:2003.0376 [pdf] submitted on 2020-03-18 05:21:25

The Predictions of the Growth of Covid19 (Part 3 for Italy)

Authors: Dongchan Lee
Comments: 1 Page.

In this part 4, I predicted the total global infections and the total death tolls of the COVID-19 , adding some more to those predicted in the part 1.
Category: Quantitative Biology

[5] viXra:2003.0375 [pdf] submitted on 2020-03-18 05:24:18

The Predictions of the Growth of Covid19 (Part 4 for the Global Explosions)

Authors: Dongchan Lee
Comments: 1 Page.

In this part 4, I predicted the total global infections and the total death tolls of the COVID-19 , adding some more to those predicted in the part 1.
Category: Quantitative Biology

[4] viXra:2003.0345 [pdf] submitted on 2020-03-17 09:32:12

Prediction of Daily Contagions of Covid-19 from March 01 to May 19 in Italy

Authors: Calogero Rinzivillo, Sergio Conte, Elio Conte
Comments: 3 Pages.

We study a fractal model for prediction of Covid-19 contagions from March 01 to May 19 in Italy . We obtain that the time of the peak is estimated to be at March 22-23 and the number of contagions will be about 110000 cases
Category: Quantitative Biology

[3] viXra:2003.0237 [pdf] submitted on 2020-03-11 01:08:36

The Predictions of the Growth of Covid-19 for the United States of America (Part 2)

Authors: Dongchan Lee
Comments: 2 Pages. version 1

This is the summary of Lee’s predictions about COVID-19’s infection population in the United States of America. It is the second part of the series. Unless the U.S. government and CDC take actions aggressively nationwide to cut the rampant growth of the virus, at least 0.1 Million Americans will catch COVID-19 by March and at least 10 million infected Americans by sometime April, and almost 100 Millions infected by sometime May 2020.
Category: Quantitative Biology

[2] viXra:2003.0184 [pdf] submitted on 2020-03-09 05:34:47

The Predictions of the Growth of Covid-19 (Part 1)

Authors: Dongchan Lee
Comments: 5 Pages.

This is the summary of Lee’s predictions about COVID-19’s infection population outside the mainland China. It is the first part of the series. The next ones will be the predictions of the virus in the U.S.A. and Mexico.
Category: Quantitative Biology

[1] viXra:2003.0141 [pdf] submitted on 2020-03-07 05:18:23

Estimation of the Size of the Corona Virus in Italy in the Next Ten Days Made by Nonparametric Time Series Prediction

Authors: Sergio Conte, Ferda Kaleagasioglu, Alberto Foletti, Elio Conte
Comments: 4 Pages.

By using the methods of the non parametric time series prediction we obtain that in the next ten days we will reach the size of 8000-9000 contagions in Italy.
Category: Quantitative Biology