Geophysics

   

The 3-rd Prognosis of Large Earthquakes and Volcanic Eruptions According Daily Indexes of Solar Activity

Authors: A.M.Eigenson, I.B.Bazylevych, M.S.Shevchenko

Recently we have done two prognosis of earthquakes (EQ) and volcanic eruptions (VE) on daily indexes of solar activity [1,2]. Both these forecasting’s are just confirmed, and here we represent the next one. All these predictions have the basis in the investigation of the first as the authors [3,4]. These was shown that when solar activity curve begins go down, then in the vicinity of its minimum the EQ and VE occur with large probability. So, knowing the behavior of solar curve, one could make the corresponding prognosis. Our previous prognosis deals in the period of Spring 2019, and now we present the prediction for Summer, 2019. In Fig.1 we see that the evident minimum of W Number was on July, 27. So we prognose the new dangerous area would be between this date and July,11 (may be, even later). (Remark: earthquakes 6+ are noted as circle’s, earthquakes 7+ as ellipses)

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[v1] 2019-07-01 09:24:40

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