Earthquake Precursors Based Upon Snap-of-a-Whip Effect.

Authors: Michail Zak

The objective of this paper is to analyze thermal anomalies associated with pre- seismic activities, to develop a model that explains effects of relatively fast appearance and disappearance of the ground temperature increases, and to apply that model to several hours prediction of the parameters of a potential earthquake. The approach is based upon the so-called snap-of –a-whip effect when an S-wave penetrates the upper soil/sand layer and releases its potential energy into heat at the very surface. This effect (that mathematically is equivalent to a snap of a whip) has been described by M.Zak, in [1], [2], and [3]. Special discussion is devoted to the inverse problem of prediction of expected earthquake parameters based upon observed time-series as well as to proposed experiment.

Comments: 14 Pages.

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Submission history

[v1] 2014-06-11 14:53:41

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