Economics and Finance

1601 Submissions

[7] viXra:1601.0131 [pdf] submitted on 2016-01-12 21:46:39

A Signals and Systems Based Study of the Share Data of Ibm and Identification of Patterns Corresponding to Remuneration Policy Changes

Authors: Sai Venkatesh Balasubramanian
Comments: 106 Pages.

Globalization, international trade and technology development have largely increased the complexity of management of large organizations such as IBM. As IBM faces a major restructuring phase in early 2014, a clear shift of paradigm is essential to frame policies and management decisions more effectively. This is when contemporary management theories such as systems theories and chaos theories lend a helping hand. They provide concepts and visualizations that can be effectively used for the modeling and understanding of the complexity, growth and dynamic evolution of such large organizations. The present project purports to the formulation of an effective analysis methodology based in systems theory and chaos theory that will help the management make effective and informed decisions. As a starting step, the basic concepts of signals and systems are reviewed, and special attention is devoted to special systems such as chaotic systems. Following this, a signals and systems based model of a large organization such as IBM is proposed. This model takes into account the primary source of assets, the primary source of revenue and finance, and the interrelations between them. Using this model as a platform, the formulation of an analysis method is attempted. To this end, a thorough study of the various standards and metrics used in systems theory and chaos theory are considered. Based on this an analysis method is formulated. This analysis method enables analyzing the output signal such as the share revenue data and understanding the patterns and trends occurring therein. The analysis formulation comprises of three categories: 1. Temporal Analysis: Time Series, Phase Portrait and Multiscale Analysis. 2. Spectral Analysis: Magnitude Spectrum, Polar Plot and Spatial Distribution. 3. Nonlinear Analysis: Lyapunov Exponent, Fractal Dimension and Kolmogorov Entropy. To evaluate and validate the analysis methodology formulated, four case studies are considered, These case studies correspond to significant events in the recent policy making history of IBM. The case studies are as follows: 1. Acquisition of Cognos BI in 2007. 2. Announcement of hikes of around 20% in IBM India in 2011. 3. Layoffs and Global Restructuring Program, Q1 2014. 4. Declaration of Dividends, 2013. For each of the above cases, two suitable timeframes are selected: one before the event and one after. For both timeframes, the formulated analysis is conducted. The analysis results are mapped with the decisions and policies in each case, and suitable interpretations are obtained. These interpretations indicate how the share market responded to the decisions and declarations. Based on the analysis formulation and the case studies, the major inferences and the contributions of the analysis to the company management process are enumerated. The project enables the application of the contemporary systems and chaos theory to modeling an organization using the signals and systems approach, and formulation of analysis techniques to identify patterns and market response trends to company decisions and declarations. The minimal requirement of data and tools required for the analysis proposed form the major highlight of the present project. Thus, the present project is a testimony to the phrase “Transformation through Information”.
Category: Economics and Finance

[6] viXra:1601.0065 [pdf] submitted on 2016-01-07 12:02:09

Why Economical Crisis Never Ends?

Authors: Janis Belov
Comments: 1 Page.

We prove that World economical crisis never ends.
Category: Economics and Finance

[5] viXra:1601.0064 [pdf] submitted on 2016-01-07 12:05:18

Economics and Random Walks

Authors: Janis Belov
Comments: 2 Pages.

We show how random waalks can be used in economics and how to erase the closed circle of economical crisis.
Category: Economics and Finance

[4] viXra:1601.0063 [pdf] submitted on 2016-01-07 12:09:15

Unemployment, Innovations and Wealth

Authors: Janis Belov
Comments: 3 Pages.

We show that over time innovation abilities are flattened resulting in raise of unemployment and the distribution of world wealth to be a peak for one and zero for others.
Category: Economics and Finance

[3] viXra:1601.0062 [pdf] submitted on 2016-01-07 12:15:25

Society Egoism, Marasmus and Theory of Brownian Motion

Authors: Janis Belov
Comments: 1 Page.

Using Brownian Motion approach we show that if the egoism of one tends to infinity then the exchange in innovations tends to zero. We show that if inflexibility of a person mind tends to infinitty then the exchange in innovations tends to zero. That leads to Stagnation and eventually to Society Marasmus.
Category: Economics and Finance

[2] viXra:1601.0061 [pdf] submitted on 2016-01-07 12:18:34

Pensions, Economics Train Simulation

Authors: Janis Belov
Comments: 2 Pages.

We show that countries economics are like train that move faster and faster. Pensioners are the load (vagons). We show the way to find out when the load is cut off from the train because it is too heavy amd the train is not able to move as fast as needed.
Category: Economics and Finance

[1] viXra:1601.0060 [pdf] submitted on 2016-01-07 12:21:26

Pillow or Bank?

Authors: Janis Belov
Comments: 1 Page.

We prove that bank is Pitekantrop. Hence it is safer to put money under pillow.
Category: Economics and Finance