Authors: Robert M. Hartranft
This paper describes a quantitative, verifiable method for predicting the college freshman year class rank at any American college of a student at any American secondary school. Using only existing data pools, the basic method also provides useful graphical summaries for individual secondary students and for entire secondary schools. If further given actual freshman rank data from simple student surveys and/or from visiting college representatives, the method appropriately refines and validates the predictions and the summaries. Given summary data from another school or group of schools, the method allows immediate and meaningful comparisons to the other school or group.
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